Performance
2026-04-30 — 2026-05-15
TARS -2.73%
vs
S&P 500 +4.32%
Equity
$972.67
Cash
$367.94
Cash Available
$43.89
Open Position Value
$604.73
Open Order Value
$324.05
Total P&L
-$27.33 (-2.73%)
Avg % / Day
-0.18%
Days Running
15
Trades
9
Fees
$10.13
Win Rate
33.3%
Avg Win
$10.21
Avg Loss
$8.02
Max Drawdown
4.28%
Open Positions (3)
Symbol Qty Avg Cost Price Value P&L P&L % Weight Days → TP
BCPC 1.58 $161.38 $159.86 $252.58 $2.40 -0.94% 41.8% 8d +5.0%
BBY 4.00 $57.64 $56.42 $225.70 $4.86 -2.11% 37.3% 11d +10.4%
ALLE 1.00 $137.48 $126.45 $126.45 $11.03 -8.02% 20.9% 15d +13.3%
Open Orders (1)
Symbol Qty Limit Value TP DTE
ZUMZ 13.89 $23.33 $324.05 $24.33 4d
Pending Sell Orders (0)
No pending sell orders.
Options Pipeline
Intents
Pending —
Ordered —
Skipped —
Orders
Active —
Filled —
Positions
Open —
Unrealized —
Lifetime
Trades —
Realized —
Recent Closed Trades (3)
Symbol Date Qty Price Proceeds Realized P&L Days Reason
DLTR 2026-05-14 2.00 $89.02 $178.04 -$13.44 13d ATR stop confirmed break (close below support)
AGCO 2026-05-06 2.18 $120.23 $262.10 +$10.21 1d R1 target hit — day high 21.89 exceeded take_profit 18.62
DLTR 2026-05-01 9.00 $94.67 $852.03 -$2.59 0d Correcting oversized position - reducing to comply with 25%
Fee Breakdown (9 trades)
Total $10.13
Commission $1.00
Platform $8.91
SEC/TAF $0.07
Watchlist (0)
No active watchlist items.
Follow u/getstonkzilla
Generated: 2026-05-15 20:45:03 UTC+02:00
next update in 00:00
Thoughts
INFO | DECISION | ZUMZ → Placed limit order at 23.33 (SMA50), target 24.33 (SMA20). F9 verified, EV/EB 2.3, FCF 49.3%. R:R 2.3:1 using real R1 (scan used BB Upper 25.85, inflated R:R to 7.4:1). 13.89 shares, 324.05 value. Expires May 20. Sole survivor from 17 scan candidates — greed regime (F&G 66) inflated F-Scores and compressed resistance for 16 others. Options skipped: estimated premium ~100 exceeds 25% cash limit (91.99).
INFO | SCAN | CRUS → Rejected. F8 verified, EV/EB 10.8. BB Lower entry at 159.13 but no confirmed reversal (brief requires price touched BB Lower in last 3 days AND closed back above it — not verified). R1 at 167.86 +3.1% passes gate but R:R only 1.7:1 (weak for greed regime). Not enough conviction to enter on BB Lower without reversal confirmation.
INFO | SCAN → Scan funnel: 17 found, 1 passed S/R verification, 1 executed. Greed regime (F&G 66) confirmed pattern for third consecutive session: massive F-Score inflation (scan F8-9, stock_detail shows F2-6 for most) + compressed resistance (R1 <3% for 12 of 17). ZUMZ sole survivor — F9 verified, SMA50 entry, R1 at 24.33 +3.0%. Classic greed regime filter.
INFO | SCAN | BURL → Rejected. F8, EV/EB 10.2, good fundamentals. Price 292.53 at SMA200 291.12. But 30-day -12.7% decline — approaching falling knife pattern. Below SMA50 (318.56) with >10% decline over 10 days. Anti-pattern 2 active. Would need reversal confirmation before entry.
INFO | SCAN | ADT → Rejected third session. F8, EV/EB 4.9 cheap. But R1 at 6.91 is 0% above current — same compressed resistance issue since May 13. Scan keeps surfacing it. Will not re-check until price breaks above 7.00.
INFO | SCAN | AMRX → Rejected. F8 verified. But R1 at 12.45 only +1.8%, below 3% resistance gate. Greed regime compressing resistance levels across the board.
INFO | SCAN | ESE → Rejected. Scan said F8, stock_detail F5. EV/EBITDA 30.0 at limit. Greed regime F-Score inflation confirmed — third session pattern. R1 at 316.39 is +6.7% but fundamentals fail gate.
INFO | MARKET → Grok: Stable greed at 66-67 driven by narrow AI-led rally (NVDA, MU, AVGO, AMD). S&P at 7444 but equal-weight lagging, breadth at extremes. Not broad optimism — mega-cap concentration. Key catalysts: May 20 FOMC minutes + NVDA earnings. Hawkish Fed or NVDA miss could compress greed. Value names (our book) lagging AI concentration. Scan quality should improve if breadth rotates. Watch May 20.
INFO | POSITION | BBY → Healthy. 56.68, -1.7% over 10 days. R1 at 60.03, +5.9% upside. ATR stop 54.34 comfortable buffer. No concerns. Hold.
WATCH | POSITION | ALLE → Maintaining watch from May 13. Price 131.14, ATR stop 129.61, 1.2% buffer. Below SMA50 (144.04) and SMA200 (161.42). Decline steady but not accelerating. -4.6% over 14 days. Holding per ATR rules. If close below 129.61, confirmed break = sell.
INFO | POSITION | BCPC → Approaching TP at 167.92, 4.2% away. Price 161.09, R1 at 161.15 essentially at price. Plan exit at resistance. Healthy hold, no concerns. 7 days, -0.2% from entry.
WATCH | MARKET → Greed regime (F&G 66, stable) continues decimating scan quality. 16 setups found but stock_detail verification killed 12: ESE F5, APOG F6, ZUMZ R1 +0.4%, CVGW F3, ADT R1 +1.0%, DHT R1 +1.6%, AYI F6, plus others. APP sole survivor but 453/share is unaffordable at 190 cash. Pattern from yesterday confirmed — greed regime inflates scan F-Scores and compresses resistance levels. Better entries when F&G cools below 50.
INFO | SCAN | ADT → Rejected. F8, EV/EB 4.9, cheap value play. But R1 at 6.91 is only +1.0% from current 6.84. Fails 3% resistance gate. Second time ADT appeared in scan with same issue — real resistance is compressed. Watch for R1 break above 7.00 to unlock R2 at 7.13 (+4.2%).
INFO | SCAN | APP → Rejected. F9, EV/EB 28.6, R1 +4.5% from SMA50 entry 448.16, R:R 6.4:1. Passes all criteria. But 453.53 per share with 190.98 cash = 0.14 shares max (33% rule). 1.6% fee drag per side kills the trade. Portfolio too small for this price point. Quality setup wasted on insufficient capital.
INFO | DECISION | ESCA → Cancelled order #4 (10 shares 17.81, target May 13). Day low 17.90 never touched limit. Target date passed. Setup still technically valid (F9, SMA50 support 17.78, R1 18.63) but greed regime (F&G 66) and yesterday's scan showed massive F-Score inflation — 8 of 10 candidates failed stock_detail verification. Will rescan today rather than blindly re-enter.
INFO | SCAN → Greed regime (F&G 67, stable) scan: 18 setups found, 1 executed (ESCA). Pattern confirmed again: F-Score inflation (scan reports F8-F9, stock_detail shows F3-F6 for 8 of 10 checked). Resistance proximity killed most candidates (ACEL +1.0%, CHH +0.7%, APOG +1.3%, MCO +0.8%, CAKE +1.4%, CVGW +2.1% all below 3% gate). ESCA sole survivor with verified F9 and R1 +4.1%. Classic greed regime — stocks appear at support but sit at resistance. Zero trades would also be correct; ESCA qualified on merit.
INFO | DECISION | ESCA → Placed limit order at 17.81 (SMA50 support 17.78, swing low 17.81). R1 at 18.63 (+4.6%). R:R 8.8:1. F9, EV/EB 9.7, FCF 21.7%. Only surviving candidate from 18 setups — greed regime decimated the scan. 15 of 18 failed S/R (resistance <3%), 8 of 10 verified had F-Score below gate (scan inflated). ESCA is the sole survivor. 90-day +26%, 30-day flat. 10 shares, 178.10 value. Expires May 18 if not filled.
INFO | MARKET | DLTR → Grok confirms: no new analyst downgrades or material news today. DLTR decline is lingering FY2026 caution + tariff worries + pre-earnings de-risking. Last rating changes were April (Evercore In-Line 150, Goldman Sell 103). Consensus Moderate Buy, PT 117-125 (27-40% upside). Staples rotated in early 2026 then faded — greed regime (F&G 67) favors cyclicals over defensives. Key catalyst: May 28 earnings (15 days). Hold thesis intact — fundamentals (F9, 7.0x EV/EB) strong vs sentiment noise. Watch for close below ATR stop 88.21.
WATCH | POSITION | ALLE → ALLE at 131.30, -4.5% from entry 137.48 over 12 days. Below SMA50 (144.04) and SMA200 (161.42). ATR stop at 129.51, 1.4% below current. Steady decline but not accelerating. Holding per ATR rules. Watch for close below 129.51 — that would be a confirmed break. Thesis weakening but not dead. R1 at 137.46 is only 4.7% above — thin upside.
INFO | POSITION | BCPC → 5.3% to TP at 167.92. R1 at 161.05, approaching. Healthy hold, -1.2% from entry 161.38 over 5 days. Plan exit at resistance. No concerns.